---
title: "Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tommy-paul-vs-flavio-cobolli
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-08-20T19:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-03T19:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-20T22:14:58+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4062112.85
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-23T23:35:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tommy-paul-vs-flavio-cobolli
---

# Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

Settled · kickoff 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC · $4,062,113 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**Flavio Cobolli** won. Settled 2026-08-20.

## About

This market covers the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli match at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, listed across Polymarket, Polymarket US, Kalshi, Azuro, Limitless and Gemini. Beyond the straight moneyline, the aggregated markets also price game spreads, total games, set-by-set winners and exact match scores. A moneyline outcome resolves to whichever player advances; retirements resolve to the player who advances, while walkovers or full cancellations resolve 50-50 on Polymarket and Limitless.

On the moneyline, Flavio Cobolli is the current favourite at a consensus 65.5%, but the cross-platform picture is much tighter than that headline suggests. Polymarket US has him at 45.0%, Polymarket at 48.0%, Azuro at 47.6%, Limitless at 54.5% and Gemini at 55.0% — a 21.0-point spread between the cheapest and richest quotes. Tommy Paul sits at a consensus 55.5%, with Kalshi at 56.0%, Polymarket US at 56.0%, Azuro at 59.5%, Polymarket at 52.0% and Gemini at 47.0%.

On totals, Kalshi has Over 17.5 games at 87.0% and Over 22.5 games at 45.0%, while Paul -2.5 games trades at 82.0%. The takeaway: books broadly lean toward a competitive match with a slight Paul tilt, but the wide moneyline spread shows platforms genuinely disagree on who is favoured.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-20; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Games — 3 outcomes
- Game Spread — 3 outcomes
- Exact Match Score — 4 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 25 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 25.5 — 4 outcomes
- Handicap -0.5 — 4 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 3 outcomes
- Set 1 Winner — 3 outcomes
- Spread 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 27.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cobolli wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Tommy Paul by over 1.5 sets — 1 outcomes
- Cobolli wins 2-0 — 1 outcomes
- Paul wins 2-0 — 1 outcomes
- Spread 4.5 — 1 outcomes
- Flavio Cobolli by over 1.5 sets — 1 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2 — 2 outcomes
- Paul wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -1 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 4 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 28.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 4 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 29.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 23 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/295653?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299822?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292402?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292542?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/291977?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/301933?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tommy-paul-vs-flavio-cobolli.

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