---
title: "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tongatapu-2-by-election-winner
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-08T23:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-08T10:42:41+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5364.29
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-12T11:06:43+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tongatapu-2-by-election-winner
---

# Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Settled · $5,364 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Alvin Lafu Sika** won. Settled 2026-10-08.

## About

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/486250?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tongatapu-2-by-election-winner.

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