---
title: "Top AI model this week? — On Oct 12, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/top-ai-model-this-week-on-oct-12-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-12T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 45980.52
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:25:28+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/top-ai-model-this-week-on-oct-12-2026
---

# Top AI model this week? — On Oct 12, 2026

Live · $45,981 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| gemini-4-argon-high | 96% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| claude-opus-5-max | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| claude-fable-5.1-max | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| claude-opus-5.5-high | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| claude-opus-4-6-high | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| claude-opus-4-6 | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| gemini-3.8-flash-high | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/731829?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/top-ai-model-this-week-on-oct-12-2026.

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