---
title: "Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/toronto-blue-jays-vs-san-francisco-giants-polymarket-2263e474
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-08T19:45:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-15T19:45:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-09T02:04:05+00:00
total_volume_usd: 17509431.62
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:13:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-blue-jays-vs-san-francisco-giants-polymarket-2263e474
---

# Toronto Blue Jays vs San Francisco Giants

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-08 19:45 UTC · $17,509,432 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Toronto Blue Jays** won. Settled 2026-07-09.

## About

This event is the rubber match of a three-game interleague series at Oracle Park on July 8. The moneyline market is the marquee outcome, with player props and totals also listed. Let me write the description.

The Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants close out a three-game interleague series at Oracle Park, with the moneyline market resolving to whichever team wins outright. Across platforms, Toronto is priced as a slight road favorite behind Dylan Cease (2.79 ERA), who faces Giants ace Logan Webb (3.66 ERA). Kalshi has the Blue Jays at 55.0%, Polymarket at 54.5%, and Azuro at 50.5% (with a 14.9% draw leg reflecting Azuro's three-way structure), giving San Francisco 46.0% on Kalshi, 45.5% on Polymarket, and 48.3% on Azuro. The cross-platform spread on the winner is a tight 0.5 points, so pricing is essentially aligned.

The totals side leans heavily to scoring: over 1.5 runs sits at 97.0% on Kalshi and over 3.5 at 86.0%, with the full-game over 7.5 at 44.0%. Player props also skew toward production, with Cease at 94.0% for 4+ strikeouts and 58.0% for 18+ outs, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is 76.0% to record a hit. That aligns with recent form — both of the first two games of this series surpassed the total in a big way as each contest had at least 11 combined runs, after the Giants took Game 1 on Monday 10-1 and the Blue Jays bounced back with nine runs and a win on Tuesday. Webb was named National League Pitcher of the Month in June, while Cease is a first-time All-Star making a case for early AL Cy Young consideration, framing why the market barely separates them.

Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Azuro, Toronto is a razor-thin favorite in a game the market expects to feature runs on both sides.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-08; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 16 outcomes
- Home Runs — 4 outcomes
- Total Bases — 8 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Hits — 7 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 10 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 2 outcomes
- RBIs — 4 outcomes
- Alejandro Kirk: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -9.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Alejandro Kirk: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Casey Schmitt: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Casey Schmitt: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 33 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/9310?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3811?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/8185?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-blue-jays-vs-san-francisco-giants-polymarket-2263e474.

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