---
title: "Toronto vs Boston"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/toronto-vs-boston
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-24T23:15:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-31T23:15:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-25T02:39:35+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9016903.97
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T21:23:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-vs-boston
---

# Toronto vs Boston

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-24 23:15 UTC · $9,016,904 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Boston Red Sox** won. Settled 2026-07-25.

## About

This is the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB game at Fenway Park on July 24, 2026, part of a three-game weekend series. The moneyline markets are the main draw, asking simply which team wins. On Kalshi, Boston is the consensus favourite at 55.0%, while Polymarket prices the Red Sox higher at 63.1% — a notable cross-platform spread of 8.1 percentage points. Kalshi, conversely, has Toronto at 47.0% versus just 36.9% on Polymarket, a 10.1-point gap — the widest divergence in the event.

Boston recently snapped a franchise-record-tying 15-game winning streak and enters this series opener looking to regroup. That streak lifted the Red Sox from 37-48 to 52-49, going 20-2 at one point after sweeping the Yankees on June 28. Patrick Sandoval, returning from a two-year absence following Tommy John surgery, takes the ball for Boston and is still winless in his third start back, having allowed five runs over five innings in his last outing. Toronto counters with Trey Yesavage, who took a loss last Sunday despite posting a season-high nine strikeouts over six innings. Boston's offence has been blistering lately, hitting 15 home runs over the last 10 games while slugging .451. Toronto's lineup has been comparatively cold, slugging .324 over the same stretch and batting just .210 as a team.

Beyond the moneyline, Kalshi carries deep prop markets centred on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and several Red Sox hitters. The total-runs market (over 2.5) sits at near-certainty, and Boston's team-total markets over 5.5 runs are priced at 74.0%. The Polymarket moneyline gap of roughly 8–10 points versus Kalshi is the sharpest cross-platform divergence here, suggesting the two venues are attracting meaningfully different market consensus on Boston's true win probability.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-25; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- First 5 Innings Winner: Toronto Blue Jays — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Trey Yesavage: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 15 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total Bases — 4 outcomes
- RBIs — 2 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Hits — 4 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 58 outcomes
- Home Runs — 36 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 17 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Patrick Sandoval: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Patrick Sandoval: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Patrick Sandoval: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Caleb Durbin: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Caleb Durbin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ceddanne Rafaela: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ceddanne Rafaela: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Daulton Varsho: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Daulton Varsho: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 35 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/74889?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/53620?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-vs-boston.

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