---
title: "Toronto vs San Diego"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/toronto-vs-san-diego-kalshi-d15a14f3
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T20:10:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T20:10:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T23:08:30+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12205531.97
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:32:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-vs-san-diego-kalshi-d15a14f3
---

# Toronto vs San Diego

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 20:10 UTC · $12,205,532 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**San Diego Padres** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Toronto Blue Jays and San Diego Padres, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET. Each listing platform resolves based on the winner of that game, with Polymarket resolving 50-50 in the rare case of a cancellation or tie, and Kalshi keeping the market open through postponements.

Across platforms, the two clubs are priced almost as a coin flip. On Kalshi, Toronto sits at 52.0% versus San Diego at 49.0%, making the Blue Jays a very slight favourite. Polymarket's binary shows the Blue Jays at 49.5% and the Padres at 50.5%, essentially the mirror image. Azuro echoes Polymarket at 49.5% Toronto and 50.5% San Diego, while also carrying a 13.3% Draw line — a structural feature of that market rather than a realistic baseball outcome. Polymarket's separate Yes/No contract prints 43.5%/56.5%.

The favourite is Toronto at 52.0%, but the edge is under three points and disappears entirely on Polymarket and Azuro, where the Padres nose ahead. The cross-platform takeaway: books disagree on which side is marginally favoured, but all agree this is close to a pick'em.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

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- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
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- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Home Runs — 8 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 13 outcomes
- Hits — 14 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 20 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 3 outcomes
- Total Bases — 17 outcomes
- RBIs — 9 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Daulton Varsho: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Daulton Varsho: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ernie Clement: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ernie Clement: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- George Springer: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- George Springer: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 27 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22522?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17002?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/23041?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-vs-san-diego-kalshi-d15a14f3.

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