---
title: "Toronto vs Washington"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/toronto-vs-washington
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-27T22:45:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-03T22:45:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-28T01:44:29+00:00
total_volume_usd: 8287200.81
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:28:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-vs-washington
---

# Toronto vs Washington

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-27 22:45 UTC · $8,287,201 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Toronto Blue Jays** won. Settled 2026-07-28.

## About

This market covers the July 27 MLB opener between the visiting Toronto Blue Jays and the host Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, with over $2.4 million in total volume spread across Kalshi and Polymarket. The core moneyline question — who wins the game — has the Washington Nationals as the current favourite. Kalshi prices Washington at 54.0% and Polymarket at 53.0%, a negligible 1-point spread, with the moneyline set around Nationals -133. That modest edge reflects the teams' contrasting form: Washington stands at 54-52 overall while Toronto has slipped to 48-58. The Blue Jays have gone just 3-7 over their last ten games, while Washington sits one game back from the final NL wild-card spot, giving the Nationals real motivation in a tight playoff chase. On the mound, Toronto sends Max Scherzer (0-0) against Washington's Andrew Alvarez (2-3, 4.22 ERA). Markets price Alvarez to notch 2+ strikeouts at 87.0% on Kalshi, reflecting modest but achievable expectations. The run environment looks lively: the total runs over 4.5 line sits at 93.0% on Kalshi, and Washington is given a 92.0% chance to score at least 2 runs, consistent with their league-leading offensive output of 5.51 runs per game. Both platforms are tightly aligned with no meaningful arbitrage, making this a clean consensus market where Washington's home-field edge and wild-card urgency explain their slim but clear favourite status.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-27; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 12 outcomes
- Home Runs — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Brady House: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 15 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Toronto Blue Jays — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 14 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Hits — 63 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 16 outcomes
- RBIs — 43 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- Brady House: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Washington Nationals — 2 outcomes
- CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Draw — 2 outcomes
- CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Daylen Lile: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Daylen Lile: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dylan Crews: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dylan Crews: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ernie Clement: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ernie Clement: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 16 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/95525?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/72178?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/toronto-vs-washington.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.