---
title: "Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — TX, AK, IA, OH"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win-tx-ak-ia-oh
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 56771.28
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:20:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win-tx-ak-ia-oh
---

# Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — TX, AK, IA, OH

Live · $56,771 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves based on the party of the candidate first sworn into each seat for the new term, or via accelerated resolution if 4 of the 8 Designated Media Sources project the winners for all four seats. This market is mutually exclusive and only one strike may resolve to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic sweep | 33% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| Texas, Alaska, Ohio | 21% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| Texas, Alaska | 10% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Republican sweep | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Alaska, Ohio | 6% | 6.2¢ on Kalshi | 6.2¢ |
| Alaska | 6% | 7.8¢ on Kalshi | 7.8¢ |
| Texas, Alaska, Iowa | 5% | 5.4¢ on Kalshi | 5.4¢ |
| Texas, Iowa, Ohio | 3% | 3.9¢ on Kalshi | 3.9¢ |
| Texas | 3% | 5.5¢ on Kalshi | 5.5¢ |
| Texas, Ohio | 3% | 5.4¢ on Kalshi | 5.4¢ |
| Alaska, Iowa, Ohio | 3% | 3.2¢ on Kalshi | 3.2¢ |
| Ohio | 2% | 3.3¢ on Kalshi | 3.3¢ |
| Alaska, Iowa | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Texas, Iowa | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Iowa | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Iowa, Ohio | 1% | 1.5¢ on Kalshi | 1.5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293275?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/tossup-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-democrats-win-tx-ak-ia-oh.

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