---
title: "Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/total-internet-blackout-in-iran-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 254471.31
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:54:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/total-internet-blackout-in-iran-by
---

# Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Live · $254,471 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d). 

The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.

Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26% | 37¢ on Polymarket | 37¢ |
| No | 75% | 86¢ on Polymarket | 86¢ |

## Other markets

- July 31 — 2 outcomes
- August 31 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/67444?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/total-internet-blackout-in-iran-by.

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