---
title: "Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-105-1011
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-13T13:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 53965.69
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:55:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-105-1011
---

# Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Live · $53,966 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 150 | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Above 175 | 87% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ |
| Above 180 | — | — | — |
| Above 190 | — | — | — |
| Above 200 | 37% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| Above 225 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Above 250 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/692337?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-105-1011.

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