---
title: "Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-112-118
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-10T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 144376.56
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:14:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-112-118
---

# Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)

Live · $144,377 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 150 | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 160 | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Above 170 | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above 180 | 96% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Above 185 | 94% | 94¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ |
| Above 190 | 86% | 86¢ on Kalshi | 86¢ |
| Above 195 | 81% | 81¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ |
| Above 200 | 67% | 68¢ on Kalshi | 68¢ |
| Above 205 | 47% | 48¢ on Kalshi | 48¢ |
| Above 210 | 39% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Above 220 | 14% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1077429?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-bab-el-mandeb-strait-112-118).

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