---
title: "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-105-1011
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-13T13:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 244790.53
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:30:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-105-1011
---

# Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Live · $244,791 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10 | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 15 | 96% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Above 20 | 75% | 75¢ on Kalshi | 75¢ |
| Above 22 | 72% | 72¢ on Kalshi | 72¢ |
| Above 25 | 44% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Above 30 | 13% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Above 35 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Above 40 | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Above 45 | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Above 50 | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Above 75 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Above 100 | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/691840?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-105-1011.

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