---
title: "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-112-118
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-10T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 152734.41
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:19:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-112-118
---

# Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Live · $152,734 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15 | 92% | 94¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ |
| Above 20 | 85% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Above 23 | 59% | 61¢ on Kalshi | 61¢ |
| Above 25 | 36% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| Above 27 | 12% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Above 30 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Above 35 | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Above 40 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Above 50 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1063465?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-112-118).

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