---
title: "Trump approval Up or Down this week?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-polymarket-f109e910
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-02T23:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-03T13:03:57+00:00
total_volume_usd: 146
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:13:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-polymarket-f109e910
---

# Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Settled · $146 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Down** won. Settled 2026-10-03.

## About

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on October 2, 2026, than on September 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 25, 2026, than on October 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/655233?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-polymarket-f109e910.

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