---
title: "Trump declares a national emergency by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1488.32
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-02T04:23:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-by
---

# Trump declares a national emergency by...?

Live · $1,488 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, announcements of an intention to declare a national emergency, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that do not declare a national emergency will not qualify.

Renewals, continuations, or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify. Amendments to or expansions of previously existing national emergencies will also not qualify unless they formally declare a new national emergency.

The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## November 30

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 16¢ on Polymarket | 16¢ |
| No | 88% | 92¢ on Polymarket | 92¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1040487?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/trump-declares-a-national-emergency-by).

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