---
title: "Twisted Saints Esports vs Formulation Gaming"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/twisted-saints-esports-vs-formulation-gaming
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-08T17:30:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-09T18:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-08T19:49:45+00:00
total_volume_usd: 52373.02
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Esports"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T19:27:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/twisted-saints-esports-vs-formulation-gaming
---

# Twisted Saints Esports vs Formulation Gaming

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-08 17:30 UTC · $52,373 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Twisted Saints Esports** won. Settled 2026-07-08.

## About

This live market covers a Valorant Best-of-3 elimination match between Twisted Saints Esports and Formulation Gaming in Group A of the VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier 2026, which began July 8. A "Yes" or team-name resolution goes to whoever takes the series; forfeits and walkouts before the match resolve 50-50 on Polymarket, while individual map markets (like Map 2) settle on the winner of that specific map.

Twisted Saints Esports is the clear favourite across every venue. On the headline match-winner line, Kalshi has TSE at 81.0% and Polymarket sits at 79.0%, for a consensus around 80.0%, while Formulation Gaming trades between 21.0% and 25.0% on those same books. Limitless, with no volume yet, still shows a default 50.0%/50.0% quote that hasn't caught up to the sharper markets. A few Polymarket sub-markets — likely reflecting the live in-match state after TSE took an early map — have pushed Twisted Saints as high as 99.9% and dropped Formulation to 0.5%, consistent with a series that is already tilting decisively. The Map 2 and totals lines are closer to a coinflip, with Under edging Over 52.0% to 48.0%.

The cross-platform takeaway: Kalshi and Polymarket agree tightly on a roughly four-to-one edge for Twisted Saints Esports, with live sub-markets suggesting the match itself is nearly resolved in their favour.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-08; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Map 2 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A: Map 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A: Map 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A: Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A: Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A: Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/12587?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/12694?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/12779?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/twisted-saints-esports-vs-formulation-gaming).

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