---
title: "Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 73638.55
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:39:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by
---

# Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Live · $73,639 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.

The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2.9¢ on Polymarket | 2.9¢ |
| No | 97% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5929?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by.

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