---
title: "UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes — Before Jan 1, 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/uk-renewables-obligation-scheme-changes-before-jan-1-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1786
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:15:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/uk-renewables-obligation-scheme-changes-before-jan-1-2028
---

# UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes — Before Jan 1, 2028

Live · $1,786 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:

Formal signing of treaties
Parliamentary approval with binding effect
Official ratification
Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority
Official statements by authorized ministers
Official press releases
Formal declarations during government proceedings
Official statements to international bodies

Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.

The following do NOT qualify:

Preliminary discussions
Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances
Opposition party statements
Leaked documents
Think-tank recommendations
General aspirations without specific commitment
Draft legislation without approval
Regional actions (unless specified)
Retraction of previously announced commitments

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROC recycle removal | 45% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| Index change | 13% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Cancellation | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292872?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/uk-renewables-obligation-scheme-changes-before-jan-1-2028.

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