---
title: "Ukraine coup attempt by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ukraine-coup-attempt-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 170870.29
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:43:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ukraine-coup-attempt-by
---

# Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Live · $170,870 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.

Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2027

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19% | 20¢ on Polymarket | 20¢ |
| No | 81% | 82¢ on Polymarket | 82¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5934?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ukraine-coup-attempt-by.

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