---
title: "Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1253064.34
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:57:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027
---

# Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Live · $1,253,064 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5050?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ukraine-joins-nato-before-2027.

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