---
title: "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ukraine-peace-referendum-scheduled-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 533531.67
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:00:43+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ukraine-peace-referendum-scheduled-by
---

# Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Live · $533,532 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. 

Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ |
| No | 94% | 95¢ on Polymarket | 95¢ |

## Other markets

- January 31 — 2 outcomes
- March 31 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5174?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ukraine-peace-referendum-scheduled-by.

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