---
title: "US economic state at the end of 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-economic-state-at-the-end-of-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 325142.67
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:18:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-economic-state-at-the-end-of-2026
---

# US economic state at the end of 2026?

Live · $325,143 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overheating | 83% | 83¢ on Polymarket | 83¢ | 83¢ |
| Soft landing | 18% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ | 19¢ |
| Stagflation | 2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 2.3¢ | 0.2¢ |
| Slack | 0.3% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1413?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6093?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-economic-state-at-the-end-of-2026).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.