---
title: "US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-employer-health-insurance-cost-growth-in-q3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-30T12:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-12T16:13:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-employer-health-insurance-cost-growth-in-q3-2026
---

# US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026

Live · $2 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market uses the 12-month percentage change in health-benefit costs for private-industry workers published in the BLS Employment Cost Index, not seasonally adjusted and in current dollars. Q3 2026 refers to the 12 months ending September 2026, not the change during the quarter.

Resolution uses the first officially published value at BLS’s reported precision. Subsequent revisions are ignored.

This statistic measures national employer health-benefit cost growth, not a particular employer’s insurance premium renewal increase. Delayed or unavailable data will be handled under the governing contract.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 5.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 5.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 6.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 6.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 7.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 7.5% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/797427?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-employer-health-insurance-cost-growth-in-q3-2026.

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