---
title: "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 120525.78
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:11:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by
---

# U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Live · $120,526 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.

Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 6.6¢ on Polymarket | 6.6¢ |
| No | 94% | 95¢ on Polymarket | 95¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5550?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by.

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