---
title: "US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 94557.44
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel-by
---

# US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

Live · $94,557 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18% | 29¢ on Polymarket | 29¢ |
| No | 82% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |

## Other markets

- June 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5778?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel-by.

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