---
title: "US GDP growth in Q2 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-polymarket-0165d32c
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-30T20:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-30T12:25:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 45621.22
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-15T15:05:53+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-polymarket-0165d32c
---

# US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Settled · $45,621 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Above 0.5%** won. Settled 2026-07-30.

## About

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/3279?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4791?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6739?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-polymarket-0165d32c.

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