---
title: "US GDP growth in Q4 2026? — In Q4 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026-in-q4-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-28T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 59473.69
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:50:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026-in-q4-2026
---

# US GDP growth in Q4 2026? — In Q4 2026

Live · $59,474 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 1.0% | 78% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| Above 1.5% | 67% | 70¢ on Kalshi | 70¢ |
| Above 2.0% | 56% | 58¢ on Kalshi | 58¢ |
| Above 2.5% | 41% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Above 3.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 3.5% | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 8% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/123061?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026-in-q4-2026.

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