---
title: "US hourly earnings growth in October — October 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-hourly-earnings-growth-in-october-october-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-06T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:10:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-hourly-earnings-growth-in-october-october-2026
---

# US hourly earnings growth in October — October 2026

Live · $1 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Resolution will use the monthly percentage change in average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls stated in the initial Employment Situation release for the reference month. The measure is seasonally adjusted and is not adjusted for inflation.

The percentage change will be used at BLS’s published precision, rather than recalculated from the hourly earnings dollar amounts. Subsequent revisions will not affect the outcome.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.1% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.2% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.3% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.4% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.5% | — | — | — |
| Above -0.1% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/695886?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-hourly-earnings-growth-in-october-october-2026.

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