---
title: "US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-october-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 929.51
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:38:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-october-31
---

# US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?

Live · $930 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with China. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by China or Chinese citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.

Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with China will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against China will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.

The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.

The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on China within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/673655?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-imposes-new-sanctions-on-china-by-october-31.

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