---
title: "US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report — Nov 11, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-mortgage-applications-change-in-the-next-mba-report-nov-11-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-11T11:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 451.16
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:34:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-mortgage-applications-change-in-the-next-mba-report-nov-11-2026
---

# US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report — Nov 11, 2026

Live · $451 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later.

The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike.

Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -10% | — | — | — |
| Above -8% | — | — | — |
| Above -6% | — | — | — |
| Above -4% | — | — | — |
| Above -2% | — | — | — |
| Above 0% | — | — | — |
| Above 2% | — | — | — |
| Above 4% | — | — | — |
| Above 6% | — | — | — |
| Above 8% | — | — | — |
| Above 10% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1149706?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-mortgage-applications-change-in-the-next-mba-report-nov-11-2026).

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