---
title: "US real GDP growth in 2030?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2030-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2031-02-28T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 37178.38
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:19:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2030-2030
---

# US real GDP growth in 2030?

Live · $37,178 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.

All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% or Below | 9% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| 0.1% to 0.5% | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| 0.6% to 1.0% | 8% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| 1.1% to 1.5% | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| 1.6% to 2.0% | — | — | — |
| 2.1% to 2.5% | 13% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| 2.6% to 3.0% | 15% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| 3.1% to 3.5% | — | — | — |
| 3.6% to 4.0% | — | — | — |
| 4.1% to 4.5% | — | — | — |
| 4.6% to 5.0% | — | — | — |
| 5.1% to 5.5% | — | — | — |
| 5.6% to 6.0% | — | — | — |
| 6.1% or Above | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/226?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-real-gdp-growth-in-2030-2030.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.