---
title: "U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 179815.79
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31
---

# U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Live · $179,816 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 2.7¢ on Polymarket | 2.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5533?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-recognizes-machado-as-leader-of-venezuela-by-december-31.

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