---
title: "U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? "
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 75079.05
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:02:44+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027
---

# U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? 

Live · $75,079 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. 

Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. 

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 4¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5724?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-crimea-before-2027.

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