---
title: "US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 191771.37
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:49:49+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027
---

# US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Live · $191,771 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. 

Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. 

Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.

The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 4.4¢ on Polymarket | 4.4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5832?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine-before-2027.

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