---
title: "US tariff revenue for 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-tariff-revenue-for-2026-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-06-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12199.24
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:28:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-tariff-revenue-for-2026-2026
---

# US tariff revenue for 2026

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $12,199 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If source agency data from FRED is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 7.2(b).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $80‎ billion | — | — | — |
| Above $100‎ billion | — | — | — |
| Above $125‎ billion | 91% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Above $150‎ billion | — | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Above $200‎ billion | — | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Above $250‎ billion | — | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above $300‎ billion | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1098?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-tariff-revenue-for-2026-2026.

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