---
title: "US trade deficit for 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-trade-deficit-for-2026-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-02-28T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-28T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 15374.29
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:52:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-trade-deficit-for-2026-2026
---

# US trade deficit for 2026?

Live · kickoff 2027-02-28 00:00 UTC · $15,374 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 170‎ billion | 91% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| 65‎ billion to 74.9‎ billion | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| 119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion | — | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| 140‎ billion to 170‎ billion | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| 45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| 95‎ billion to 104.9‎ billion | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| 105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Below 45‎ billion | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| 55‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| 85‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion | — | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| 120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| 75‎ billion to 84.9‎ billion | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1176?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-trade-deficit-for-2026-2026.

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