---
title: "US unemployment rate at year-end 2036 — December 2036"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-unemployment-rate-at-year-end-2036-december-2036
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2037-01-09T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 13
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:31:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-unemployment-rate-at-year-end-2036-december-2036
---

# US unemployment rate at year-end 2036 — December 2036

Live · $13 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.

The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2036. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 3.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 4.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 4.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 5.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 5.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 6.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 6.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 7.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 7.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 8.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 8.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 9.0% | — | — | — |
| Above 9.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 10.0% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/431965?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-unemployment-rate-at-year-end-2036-december-2036.

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