---
title: "US x Cuba economic deal by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 442465.06
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:09:04+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by
---

# US x Cuba economic deal by...?

Live · $442,465 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify . Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 12¢ on Polymarket | 12¢ |
| No | 89% | 89¢ on Polymarket | 89¢ |

## Other markets

- April 30 — 2 outcomes
- June 30 — 2 outcomes
- July 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/312198?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by.

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