---
title: "USMCA extended in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/usmca-extended-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11471.31
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:03:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/usmca-extended-in-2026
---

# USMCA extended in 2026?

Live · $11,471 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.

The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.

The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 10¢ on Polymarket | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7471?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/usmca-extended-in-2026.

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