---
title: "VA-05 House election: John McGuire vote percent"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/va-05-house-election-john-mcguire-vote-percent
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7162.32
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:29:29+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/va-05-house-election-john-mcguire-vote-percent
---

# VA-05 House election: John McGuire vote percent

Live · $7,162 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by John McGuire ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | — | — | — |
| At least 48% | — | — | — |
| At least 50% | 74% | 78¢ on Kalshi | 78¢ |
| At least 52% | — | — | — |
| At least 54% | 30% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| At least 56% | 17% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| At least 58% | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| At least 60% | 5% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| At least 62% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/504397?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/va-05-house-election-john-mcguire-vote-percent.

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