---
title: "Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 44375.47
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:10:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026
---

# Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Live · $44,375 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5915?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/von-der-leyen-out-as-european-commission-president-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.