---
title: "Waitaki Ōamaru Ward by-election winner? — November 27, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/waitaki-oamaru-ward-by-election-winner-november-27-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-27T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 200
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:07:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/waitaki-oamaru-ward-by-election-winner-november-27-2026
---

# Waitaki Ōamaru Ward by-election winner? — November 27, 2026

Live · $200 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

One member is elected to the Ōamaru Ward by first past the post. The candidate declared elected by the Waitaki District Council electoral officer resolves to YES; every other candidate resolves to NO.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Resolution follows the official declaration of the result, not preliminary or progress counts.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Marshall | 76% | 79¢ on Kalshi | 79¢ |
| Richard Vinbrux | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1170430?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/waitaki-oamaru-ward-by-election-winner-november-27-2026).

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