---
title: "Washington vs Philadelphia"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/washington-vs-philadelphia-kalshi-fb4fd8d2
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-08-03T22:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-10T22:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-04T01:24:37+00:00
total_volume_usd: 10646132.54
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:30:04+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/washington-vs-philadelphia-kalshi-fb4fd8d2
---

# Washington vs Philadelphia

Settled · kickoff 2026-08-03 22:40 UTC · $10,646,133 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Philadelphia Phillies** won. Settled 2026-08-04.

## About

This August 3 NL East matchup pits the visiting Washington Nationals (55-58) against the Philadelphia Phillies (59-53) at Citizens Bank Park, opening a four-game series between the division rivals. On the moneyline, the Phillies are the clear favourite: Kalshi prices them at 83.0% implied probability, while Polymarket is slightly softer at 80.0% — the lone notable cross-platform spread of 3.0 points in this event. The Nationals check in at 18.0% on Kalshi and 20.0% on Polymarket for the full-game winner market.

Philadelphia recently bolstered its roster via the trade deadline, acquiring three-time batting champion Luis Arraez and reliever Brooks Raley. The pitching matchup helps explain the Phillies' edge: Aaron Nola takes the hill for Philadelphia carrying a 3-9 record and 5.61 ERA, while Washington counters with Zack Littell, who is 7-8 on the season with a 4.94 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Context also favours the home side — Washington arrives having been swept in a four-game series by division-leading Atlanta, with Sunday's finale producing just four hits. Meanwhile, Philadelphia comes in buoyed by a winning road series in Baltimore, with its pitching holding the Orioles scoreless across the final two games, outscoring them 13-0.

Prop markets on Kalshi reflect a high-scoring expectation, with total runs lines through 6.5 priced above 99.0%. The only meaningful cross-platform divergence is the 3-point gap on the Phillies' moneyline between Kalshi and Polymarket, with all other markets showing zero spread — suggesting broad consensus despite the platform difference on the favourite's price.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-04; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- First 5 Innings Winner: Washington Nationals — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 25 outcomes
- RBIs — 14 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 8 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 25 outcomes
- Home Runs — 10 outcomes
- Hits — 17 outcomes
- Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 5 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Philadelphia Phillies — 2 outcomes
- Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Draw — 2 outcomes
- Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 12 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/149457?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/121114?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/washington-vs-philadelphia-kalshi-fb4fd8d2.

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