---
title: "What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/what-cases-will-the-supreme-court-agree-to-hear-before-jan-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 8907.59
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:19:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-cases-will-the-supreme-court-agree-to-hear-before-jan-2029
---

# What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?

Live · $8,908 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review. For the avoidance of doubt:  A case where the Third Amendment is mentioned only in passing, in dicta, or as part of a general constitutional analysis without being a distinct claim SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion A case where the Third Amendment is raised only in amicus briefs but not by the parties SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: the Court grants cert in a case where a homeowner challenges military housing requirements under the Third Amendment; the Court grants cert in a case where the question presented is "Whether police officers qualify as 'soldiers' under the Third Amendment”; the Court grants cert where a lower court ruled on the scope of Third Amendment protections and that ruling is being appealed.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 92¢ on Kalshi | 92¢ |
| Yes | 8% | 8.9¢ on Kalshi | 8.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/332?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-cases-will-the-supreme-court-agree-to-hear-before-jan-2029.

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