---
title: "What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? — Before 2030"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/what-countries-will-hold-referenda-on-leaving-the-eu-before-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5965.58
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:12:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-countries-will-hold-referenda-on-leaving-the-eu-before-2030
---

# What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? — Before 2030

Live · $5,966 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary | 7% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Italy | 5% | 8.1¢ on Kalshi | 8.1¢ |
| France | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Greece | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292527?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-countries-will-hold-referenda-on-leaving-the-eu-before-2030.

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