---
title: "What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-polymarket-us-e11ee596
status: upcoming
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 0
venues: ["Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:50:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-polymarket-us-e11ee596
---

# What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

Upcoming · listed on Polymarket US

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 18% | 18¢ on Polymarket US | 18¢ |
| 5% Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 18% | 18¢ on Polymarket US | 18¢ |
| Uranium Enrichment % Cap | 17% | 17¢ on Polymarket US | 17¢ |
| Iran Reconstruction Funding | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket US | 11¢ |
| Enriched Uranium Surrender | 8% | 8¢ on Polymarket US | 8¢ |
| 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 5% | 5¢ on Polymarket US | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299731?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-polymarket-us-e11ee596.

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