---
title: "What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1231571.98
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:49:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026
---

# What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Live · $1,231,572 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

Rules

_From Polymarket's listing._

## ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 87% | 87¢ on Polymarket | 87¢ |
| Yes | 14% | 14¢ on Polymarket | 14¢ |

## Other markets

- Iran Reconstruction Funding — 2 outcomes
- Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) — 2 outcomes
- 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium — 2 outcomes
- Enriched Uranium Surrender — 2 outcomes
- Dilution of Iran's Uranium — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5294?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026.

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