---
title: "What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? — JD Vance - Midterm Rally in Lima, Ohio originally scheduled for October 9, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-rally-in-ohio-jd-vance-midterm-rally-in-lima-ohio-originally-scheduled-for-october-9-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-23T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 33216.36
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:13:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-rally-in-ohio-jd-vance-midterm-rally-in-lima-ohio-originally-scheduled-for-october-9-2026
---

# What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? — JD Vance - Midterm Rally in Lima, Ohio originally scheduled for October 9, 2026

Live · $33,216 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

How this is resolved
Video of the Midterm Rally in Lima, Ohio originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Lima, Ohio originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. 
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. 
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | 95% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Biden | 92% | 94¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ |
| Election | 86% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ |
| Border | 85% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ |
| Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | 82% | 84¢ on Kalshi | 84¢ |
| Illegal Alien | 81% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Social Security | 79% | 80¢ on Kalshi | 80¢ |
| 2028 / Campaign | 75% | 79¢ on Kalshi | 79¢ |
| Steel | 73% | 77¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| Fraud | 72% | 72¢ on Kalshi | 72¢ |
| Economy / Economic | 66% | 68¢ on Kalshi | 68¢ |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 66% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| Working Class / Middle Class | 62% | 64¢ on Kalshi | 64¢ |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 62% | 64¢ on Kalshi | 64¢ |
| Radical Left | 57% | 60¢ on Kalshi | 60¢ |
| Inflation | 57% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| Healthcare | 55% | 57¢ on Kalshi | 57¢ |
| Fake News | 38% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| China / Chinese | 29% | 30¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| American Dream | 28% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 27% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Small Business | 27% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| America First | 21% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Tariff | 15% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Made in America / American Made | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Event does not qualify | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/738524?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-rally-in-ohio-jd-vance-midterm-rally-in-lima-ohio-originally-scheduled-for-october-9-2026.

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