---
title: "What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? — On Oct 28, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference-on-oct-28-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-29T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 57854.16
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:17:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference-on-oct-28-2026
---

# What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? — On Oct 28, 2026

Live · $57,854 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

How this is resolved
Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. 
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. 

Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.

Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Bank | 90% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| Good Day | 88% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| Restrictive | 82% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Shock | 78% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| Productivity | 78% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 75% | 78¢ on Kalshi | 78¢ |
| Inflation Expectation | 69% | 73¢ on Kalshi | 73¢ |
| Uncertainty | 67% | 70¢ on Kalshi | 70¢ |
| Anchor / Anchored | 67% | 70¢ on Kalshi | 70¢ |
| Geopolitical | 64% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| Balance Sheet | 61% | 64¢ on Kalshi | 64¢ |
| President | 56% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| Oil | 56% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| Credit | 54% | 57¢ on Kalshi | 57¢ |
| Commodity | 45% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| Projection | 42% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Dollar | 37% | 41¢ on Kalshi | 41¢ |
| Unchanged | 33% | 36¢ on Kalshi | 36¢ |
| Pandemic | 30% | 34¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ |
| Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 23% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| Risk Management | 18% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |
| Probability | 14% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Iran | 14% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Softening | 12% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Recession | 10% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Good Afternoon | 9% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Dissent | 8% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Diesel | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| ADP | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Tax | 6% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Trump | 5% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Consumer Confidence | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| National Debt | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Renovation | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Bitcoin | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Gold | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Independent / Independence | — | — | — |
| Family Fight / Family Feud | — | — | — |
| QT / Quantitative Tightening | — | — | — |
| QE / Quantitative Easing | — | — | — |
| Volatility | — | — | — |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | — | — | — |
| Japan / Japanese / Yen | — | — | — |
| Egg | — | — | — |
| Stagflation | — | — | — |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/547474?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference-on-oct-28-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.