---
title: "When will Anthropic release Opus 6?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-anthropic-release-opus-6
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 59478.22
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:02:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-anthropic-release-opus-6
---

# When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Live · $59,478 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | — | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Sep 16, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293566?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-anthropic-release-opus-6.

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